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Pathways to Desistance Study
Articles published and in press
June, 2014


Anwar, S. and Loughran, T.A. (2011). Testing a Bayesian Learning Theory of Deterrence Among Serious Juvenile Offenders. Criminology, 49(3), 667-698.

Brame, R., Fagan, J., Piquero, A. R., Schubert, C. A., & Steinberg, L. (2004). Criminal Careers of Serious Delinquents in Two Cities. Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 2 (3), 256-272.

Cauffman, E. (2008). Bad Boys or Poor Parents: Relations to Female Juvenile Delinquents, Journal of Research on Adolescence, 18 (4), 699-712.

Cauffman, E., Piquero, A. R., Kimonis, E., Steinberg, L., Chassin, L., & Fagan, J. (2007). Legal, Individual, and Environmental Predictors of Court Disposition in a Sample of Serious Adolescent Offenders. Law & Human Behavior, 31, 519-535.

Cauffman, E., Kimonis, E., Dmitrieva, J., Monahan, K.C. (2009) A Multi-Method Assessment of Juvenile Psychopathy: Comparing the Predictive Utility of the PCL/YV, YPI, and Neo-PRI. Psychological Assessment. 21(4) 528-542.

Chassin, L., Dmitrieva, J., Modecki, K., Steinberg, L., Cauffman, E., Piquero, A. R., Knight, G. P., & Losoya, S. H. (2010). Does adolescent alcohol and marijuana use predict suppressed growth in psychosocial maturity among male juvenile offenders? Psychology of Addictive Behaviors, 24(1): 48-60.

Chassin, L., Knight, G., Vargas-Chanes, D., Losoya, S., Naranjo, D. (2009). Substance Use Treatment Outcomes in a Sample of Serious Juvenile Offenders, Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, 36(2), 183-194

Chassin, L., Piquero, A.R., Losoya, S., Mansion, A., & Schubert, C.A., (2013). Joint Consideration of Distal & Proximal Predictors of Premature Mortality Among Serious Juvenile Offenders. Jn of Adolescent Health, 52(6), 689-696. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2012.11.018

Chung, H., Mulvey, E., Steinberg, L. (2011). Understanding the school outcomes of juvenile offenders: An exploration of neighborhood influences and motivational resources. Journal of Youth and Adolescence 40: 1025-1038.

Chung, H. L., & Steinberg, L. (2006). Relations Between Neighborhood Factors, Parenting Behaviors, Peer Deviance, and Delinquency Among Serious Juvenile Offenders. Developmental Psychology, 42 (2), 319-331.

Chung, H. L., Schubert, C. A., Mulvey, E.P. (2007) An Empirical Portrait of Community Reentry Among Serious Juvenile Offenders in Two Metropolitan Cities. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 34 (11), 1402-1426.

Dmitrieva, J., Gibson, L., Steinberg, L., Piquero, A. & Fagan, J. (2014) Predictors and Consequences of Gang Membership: Comparing Gang Members, Gang Leaders, and Non-Gang-Affiliated Adjudicated Youth. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 24(2), 220-234.

Dmitrieva, J., Monahan, K., Cauffman, E., Steinberg L (2012). Arrested development: The effects of incarceration on the development of psychosocial maturity. Development and Psychology, 24(3), 1073-1090.

Fagan, J. & Piquero, A. (December 2007). Rational Choice & Developmental Influences on Recidivism Among Adolescent Felony Offenders. Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, 4 (4), 715-748.

Goldweber, A., Dmitrieva, J., Cauffman, E., Piquero, A, Steinberg, L. (2011). The development of criminal style in adolescences and youth adulthood: Separating the lemmings from the loners. Journal of Youth & Adolescence, 40(3), 332-346.

Hampton, A.S., Drabick,D.A.G., & Steinberg, L. (2014). Does IQ moderate the relation between psychopathy & Juvenile offending? Law and Human Behavior, 38(1), 23-33. DOI:10.1037/lhb0000036.

Iselin, AM., Mulvey, E.P., Loughran, T.A., Chung, H. L., Schubert, C. A. (2012) A Longitudinal Examination of Serious Adolescent Offenders' Perceptions of Chances for Success and Engagement in Behaviors Accomplishing Goals. Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology, 40(2), 237-249.

Jones, S., Cauffman, E., & Miller, J. D. (2006). Investigating Different Factor Structures of the Psychopathy Checklist: Youth Version: Confirmatory Factor Analytic Findings. Psychological Assessment, 18 (1), 33-48.

Knight, G. P., Little, M., Losoya, S., & Mulvey, E. P. (2004). The Self-Report of Offending Among Serious Juvenile Offenders. Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 2 (3), 273-295.

Knight, G., Losoya, S., Cho, Y., Chassin, L., Williams, J., Cota-Robles, S. (2012). Ethnic identity & criminal offending trajectories among Mexican American juvenile offenders. Jn of Research on Adolescence, 22(4), 782-796.

Knight, G.P., Vargas-Chanes, D., Losoya, S., Cota-Robles, S., Chassin, L., & Lee, J.M. (2009) Acculturation and Enculturation Trajectories among Mexican American Adolescent Offenders, Journal of Research on Adolescence, 19 (4) 625-653.

Lee, J. M., Steinberg, L., Piquero, A. R. (2010). Ethnic identity and attitudes toward the police among African American juvenile offenders. Journal of Criminal Justice, 38 (4) 781-789.

Lee, J.M., Steinberg, L., Piquero, A.R., Knight, G.P. (2011). Identity-linked preceptions of the police among African American juvenile offenders: A developmental perspective. Jn of Youth Adolescence, 40: 23-37.

Little, M., & Steinberg, L. (2006). Psychosocial Correlates of Adolescent Drug Dealing in the Inner City: Potential Roles of Opportunity, Conventional Commitments, and Maturity. Journal of Research in Crime & Delinquency, 43 (4), 357-386.

Losoya, S. H., Knight, G. P. Chassin, L., Little, M., Vargas-Chanes, D., Mauricio, A., Piquero, A. (2008). Trajectories of Acculturation and Enculturation in Relation to Heavy Episodic Drinking and Marijuana Use in a Sample of Mexican American Serious Juvenile Offenders. Journal of Drug Issues, 38 (1), 171-198.

Loughran, T., Mulvey, E. (2010) Estimating treatment effects: Matching quantification to the question. In D. Weisburd, A. Piquero (Eds.) Handbook of Quantitative Criminology, (pp163-181). New York: Springer.

Loughran, T. A., Mulvey, E. P., Schubert, C. A., Chassin, L., Piquero, A. R., Cota-Robles, S., Fagan, J., Cauffman, E. and Losoya, S. H. (2010). Differential Effects of Adult Court Transfer on Juvenile Offender Recidivism. Law & Human Behavior, 34 (6), 476-488.

Loughran, T., Mulvey, E. P., Schubert, C. A., Fagan, J., Losoya, S. H., Piquero, A. R. (2009) Estimating a Dose-Response Relationship between Length of Stay and Future Recidivism in Serious Juvenile Offenders. Criminology, 47(3) 699-740.

Loughran , T.A. , Paternoster, R., Piquero, A., and Fagan, J. (2013). A Good Man Always Knows His Limitations: Overconfidence in Criminal Offending. Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency, 50 (3) 327 – 358.

Loughran, T. A., Paternoster, N., Piquero, A. R., Pogarsky, G. (2011). On ambiguity in perceptions of risk: implications for criminal decision making and deterrence. Criminology, 49(4), 1029-1061.

Loughran, T. A., Piquero, A., Fagan, J., Mulvey, E. (2011) Deterring serious and chronic offenders: Research findings and policy thoughts from the Pathways to Desistance study, In N. Dowd (Ed.), Justice for Kids: Keeping Kids out of the Juvenile Justice System, New York, NYU Press.

Loughran, T. , Piquero, A.R., Fagan, J., & Mulvey, E.P. (2012). Differential Deterrence: Studying Heterogeneity and Changes In Perceptual Deterrence among Serious Adolescent Offenders. Crime and Delinquency. Crime and Delinquency. DOI: 10.1177/0011128709345971

Loughran, T.A., Pogarsky, G., Piquero, A.R. and Paternoster, R. (2012). “Re-examining the Functional Form of the Certainty Effect in Deterrence Theory,” Justice Quarterly, 29(5) 712-741.

Mauricio, A.M., Little, M., Chassin, L., Knight, G. P., Piquero, A. R., Losoya, S. H., Vargas-Chanes, D. (2009). Juvenile Offenders' Alcohol and Marijuana Trajectories: Risk and Protective Factor Effects in the Context of Time in a Supervised Facility. Journal of Youth & Adolescence, 38 (3), 440-435.

Monahan, K.C., Dmitrieva, J., Cauffman, E. (2014). Bad romance: Gender Differences in the Longitudinal Association Between Romantic Relationships and Deviant Behavior. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 24(1), 12-26.

Monahan, K. C. & Piquero, A. R. (2009). Investigating the Longitudinal Relation Between Offending Frequency and Offending Variety, Criminal Justice and Behavior, 36, 653-673.

Monahan, K. C., Steinberg, L., Cauffman, E., Mulvey, E. P. (2009). Trajectories of Antisocial Behavior and Psychosocial Maturity from Adolescence to Young Adulthood. Developmental Psychology, 45(6), 1654-1668

Monahan, K., Steinberg, L., Cauffman, E., Mulvey, E. (2014). Psychosocial (Im)maturity from Adolescence to Early Adulthood: Distinguishing Between Adolescence-limited and Persisting Antisocial Behavior. Development and Psychopathology, 24(4), 1093-1105.

Monahan, K. C., Steinberg, L., Cauffman, E. (2009)Affiliation with Antisocial Peers, Susceptibility to Peer Influence, and Desistance from Antisocial Behavior during the Transition to Adulthood. Developmental Psychology, 45(6), 1520-1530.

Monahan, K., Steinberg, L., & Cauffman, E. (2013). Age differences in the impact of employment on antisocial behavior. Child Development, 84, 791-801. DOI: 10.1111/cdev.12031

Mulvey, E. P. (2005). Risk Assessment in Juvenile Justice Policy and Practice. In K. Heilbrun, N. E. S. Goldstein & R. E. Redding (Eds.), Juvenile Delinquency: Prevention, assessment, and intervention (pp. 209-231). New York, NY: Oxford University Press.

Mulvey, E. P., Schubert, C. A. (2011). Youth in prison and beyond. In B. Feld, D. Bishop (Eds.), Oxford handbook on Juvenile Crime and Juvenile Justice. New York: Oxford.

Mulvey, E.P. & Schubert, C. A. (2012). Some initial policy implications from the Pathways to Desistance study. Victims and Offenders, 7(4), 407-427.

Mulvey, E.P. & Schubert, C.A. (December, 2012). Transfer of Juveniles to Adult Court: Effects of a Broad Policy in One Court. Washington, DC: United States Department of Justice, Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention.

Mulvey, E.P., Schubert, C. A., Chassin, L. (December, 2010). Substance use and offending in serious adolescent offenders. Washington, DC: United States Department of Justice, Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention.

Mulvey, E. P., Schubert, C. A., & Chung, H. L. (2007). Service use after court involvement in a sample of serious adolescent offenders. Children and Youth Services Review, 29, 518-544.

Mulvey, E. P., Schubert, C. A., Odgers, C. A. (2010). A Method of Measuring Organizational Functioning in Juvenile Justice Facilities Using Resident Ratings. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 37, 11, 1255-1277.

Mulvey, E. P., Steinberg, L., Fagan, J., Cauffman, E., Piquero, A. R., Chassin, L., et al. (2004). Theory and Research on Desistance from Antisocial Activity among Serious Adolescent Offenders. Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 2 (3), 213-236.

Mulvey, E. P., Steinberg, L., Piquero, A. R., Besana, M., Fagan, J., Schubert, C., Cauffman, B. (2010). Trajectories of desistance and continuity in antisocial behavior following court adjudication among serious adolescent offenders. Development and Psychopathology, 22 453-475.

Piquero, A. R., Brame, R. W. (July 2008). Assessing the Race-Crime and Ethnicity Crime Relationship in a Sample of Serious Adolescent Delinquents. Crime & Delinquency, 54 (3), 390-422

Piquero, A. R., Fagan, J., Mulvey, E. P., Steinberg, L., & Odgers, C. (2005). Developmental Trajectories of Legal Socialization among Serious Adolescent Offenders. The Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, 96 (1), 267-298.

Piquero, A.R., Monahan, K., Glasheen, C., Schubert, C.A., Mulvey, E.P. (2013). Does Time Matter? Comparing Trajectory Concordance and Covariate Association Using Time-Based and Age-Based Assessments. Crime & Delinquency, 59(5), 738-763.

Piquero, A.R., Schubert, C.A., Brame, R. (2014). Comparing official record and self report records of arrest across gender and race/ethnicity in a longitudinal study of serious youthful offenders. Journal of Research in Crime & Delinquency, 51: 526-55.

Pyrooz, D.C., Sweeten, G., Piquero, A. R. (2013). Continuity and change in gang membership and gang embeddedness. Journal of Research on Crime and Delinquency, 50(2), 239- 271. DOI: 10.1177/0022427811434830.

Schubert, C. A., Mulvey, E. P., Glasheen, C. (2011). The influence of mental health and substance use problems and criminogenic risk on outcomes in serious juvenile offenders. Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 50(9), 925-937.

Schubert, C. A., Mulvey, E. P., Loughran, T., Fagan, J., Chassin, L., Piquero, A., Losoya, S., Steinberg, L. and Cauffman, E. (2010). Predicting outcomes for youth transferred to adult court. Law & Human Behavior, 34 (6) 460-475.

Schubert, C. A., Mulvey, E.P., Loughran, T.A., Losoya, S. (2012). Perceptions of Institutional Experiences and Community Outcomes for Serious Adolescent Offenders. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 39(1), 71-93.

Schubert, C. A., Mulvey, E.P., Steinberg, L., Cauffman, E., Losoya, S., Hecker, T., Chassin, L., et al. (2004). Operational Lessons from the Pathways to Desistance Project. Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 2 (3), 237-255.

Shulman, E., Cauffman, E., Piquero, A., Fagan, J. (2011). Moral Disengagement Among Serious Juvenile Offenders: A longitudinal Study of the Relations between Morally Disengaged Attitudes and Offending. Developmental Psychology, 47(6), 1619-1632.

Steinberg, L., Blatt-Eisengart, I., & Cauffman, E. (2006). Patterns of Competence and Adjustment among Adolescents from Authoritative, Authoritarian, Indulgent, and Neglectful Homes: A Replication in a Sample of Serious Adolescent Offenders. Journal of Research on Adolescence, 16 (1), 47-58.

Steinberg, L., Chung, H. L., & Little, M. (2004). Re-entry of Young Offenders From the Justice System: A developmental perspective. Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice, 1 (1), 21-38.

Steinberg, L. & Monahan, K.C. (2007). Age Differences in Resistance to Peer Influence, Developmental Psychology, 43 (6), 1531-1543.

Sweeten, G., Piquero, A.R., & Steinberg, L. (2013) Age & The Explanation of Crime, Revisited. Journal of Youth and Adolescents, 42(6), 921-938.

Sweeten, G., Pyrooz, D.C. & Piquero, A.R. ( 2013). Disengaging from gangs and desistance from crime. Justice Quarterly, 30, 469-500.

Thomas, K.J., Loughran, T.A., Piquero, A.R. (in press). Do Individual Characteristics Explain Variation in Sanction Risk Updating Among Serious Juvenile Offenders? Advancing the Logic of Differential Deterrence. Law & Human Behavior. DOI: 10.1037/h0093990

Williams, L. R., Steinberg, L.( 2011) Reciprocal Relations Between Parenting and Adjustment in a Sample of Juvenile Offenders. Child Development 82(2), 633-645.

In Press:

Bechtold, J., Cavanagh,C., Shulman, E.P., Cauffman, E. (in press). Does Mother Know Best? Adolescent and Mother Reports of Impulsivity and subsequent delinquency. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, DOI:10.1007/s10964-013-0080-9.

Bersani, B., Lougran, T., Piquero, A. (in press). Comparing patterns and predictors of immigrant offending among a sample of adjuncted youth. Journal of Youth and Adolescence, DOI:10.007/s10964-013-0045-z.

Brame, R., Mulvey, E.P., Piquero, A.R., Schubert, C.A. (in press). Assessing the Nature and Mix of Offences among Serious Adolescent Offenders. Criminal Behavior and Mental Health.

Loughran, T.A., Nguyen, H., Piquero, A.R., & Fagan, J. (in press). The Returns to Criminal Capital. American Sociological Review, DOI: 10.1177/0003122413505588.

Piquero, A.R. (in press). Take My License n’ All That Jive, I Can’t See….35: Little Hope For The Future Encourages Offending Over Time. Justice Quarterly.

Piquero, A.R., Jennings, W.G., Piquero, N.L., Schubert, C.A. (in press) Does Capital Differentiate Between Offending Trajectories in a Sample of Serious Hispanic Adolescent Offenders. Journal of Criminal Justice.

Reid, J.A. & Piquero, A.R. (in press). Applying General Strain Theory to Youth Commercial Sexual Exploitation. Crime & Delinquency. DOI: 10.1177/0011128713498213.

Reid, J.A., & Piquero, A.R., (in press). On the Relationships between Commercial Sexual Exploitation/Prostitution, Substance Dependency, and Delinquency in Youthful Offenders. Child Maltreatment.

Tsang, S., Piquero, A.R., Cauffman, E., (in press). An Examination of the Psychopathy Checklist: Youth Version among Male Adolescent Offenders: An Item Response Theory Analysis. Psychological Assessment.

Wagoner, R., Schubert, C.A., Mulvey, E.P. (in press). Probation Intensity, Self-Reported Offending, and Psychopathy in Serious Juvenile Offenders on Probation. Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and Law.